Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 841.309951 956.922304 1088.424257 1250.309389 1445.943713 1676.935973 1973.642036
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 680.637813 828.712013 1013.722934 1266.630939 1611.132410 2076.171825 2773.860935
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 605.170792 767.239261 981.603430 1294.701693 1756.382119 2440.695491 3593.387213
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 534.646989 698.633494 925.104026 1273.419233 1820.922904 2698.658644 4336.355844
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 492.775500 661.352717 903.324730 1293.501712 1944.852795 3072.132141 5407.723242
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 462.873839 636.363085 894.298957 1328.939719 2097.512208 3532.389795 6847.742493
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 431.436038 604.923485 870.444739 1334.735033 2197.462015 3920.445936 8328.274875
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 398.742006 567.928871 832.978495 1310.675977 2235.797015 4193.439009 9680.828736
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 379.018852 549.009536 822.118538 1330.951986 2363.059308 4697.490595 12003.187873
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 350.964760 514.214173 781.044572 1289.721430 2355.683926 4885.490742 13489.395569
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 327.862968 485.587237 747.640108 1258.350817 2363.125153 5113.753271 15310.402712
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 306.292155 457.863075 713.267209 1220.661490 2349.437657 5283.645969 17072.898078
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 297.448149 451.970836 718.943893 1267.923697 2553.410881 6177.218987 23262.300041
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 285.884356 440.666475 714.057381 1293.873243 2716.807219 7048.959518 31098.052467
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 275.591028 430.523269 709.921518 1320.200609 2887.943607 8046.008924 42254.927153
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 260.628363 410.922370 685.885951 1299.020865 2926.334596 8594.798029 51863.760532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 251.697541 401.476285 680.533320 1319.465522 3088.758053 9741.520314 71982.197161
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 245.114705 395.774419 681.927386 1355.908448 3310.754318 11325.884569 108095.498203
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 236.009030 384.696131 671.375351 1361.848022 3440.564682 12601.159027 152760.981674
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 224.782729 368.881184 649.719865 1337.140769 3464.034774 13361.392070 197675.988185
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 218.455516 361.984289 646.077580 1357.964803 3651.125425 15242.497456 316859.029156
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 207.230588 344.966004 619.611426 1315.621271 3602.059340 15648.066485 393611.581062
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 197.627420 330.600648 597.855955 1283.411608 3584.083456 16274.675709 515592.773943